Residential construction activity moved in opposite directions in March, as housing starts posted a strong rebound while building permits fell sharply from the previous month’s elevated pace. The latest Census Bureau report suggests builders accelerated new projects even as future pipeline activity softened. Privately owned housing starts rose 10.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.502 million , up from February’s revised 1.356 million pace. Starts were also 10.8% higher than March 2025 levels. Single-family starts increased 9.7% to 1.032 million, while multifamily starts (buildings with five units or more) came in at 446k. On the permitting side, activity pulled back notably. Total building permits fell 10.8% to an annual rate of 1.372 million , down from February’s revised 1.538 million pace and 7.4% below year-ago levels. Single-family permits declined 3.8% to 895k, while multifamily authorizations dropped to 427k. In general, there's no point in reading too much into month-to-month volatility in this data series. What's important is that there's been a decent, supportive floor of construction activity seen in 2024-2025 and a general upward trend since October, 2025. Housing completions were essentially flat for the month, edging up 0.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.366 million . Despite the monthly stability, completions were 12.8% lower than the same time last year. Single-family completions fell 4.8% to 896k, while multifamily completions reached 452k.

Mortgage applications eased modestly last week, giving back a small portion of the prior week’s sharp gains as rates moved slightly higher. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a 1.6% decrease on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending April 24. The pullback was driven by softer refinance demand, while purchase activity continued to improve. The Refinance Index fell 4% from the previous week but remained 51% higher than the same week one year ago. Meanwhile, the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 1% week over week and stood 21% above last year’s level. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate increased slightly to 6.37% from 6.35%, contributing to the decline in refinance activity. Even so, steady inventory gains and resilient demand appear to be supporting buyers during the spring market. MBA’s Mike Fratantoni said, " Mortgage rates increased slightly last week, with the 30-year fixed rate rising to 6.37 percent... More notably, purchase application activity was more than 20 percent above last year’s pace... potential homebuyers certainly appear to be moving forward this spring and taking advantage of the more favorable inventory conditions in most parts of the country. " Application composition shifted further away from refinancing, with refinance share declining to 42.5% from 44.2% the prior week. ARM share increased to 8.3% . FHA share fell to 17.2% , while VA share held steady at 15.0% and USDA share remained unchanged at 0.5% .

Home price appreciation remained subdued in early 2026, according to the latest data from both FHFA and S&P Cotality Case-Shiller. The two reports show prices still edging higher nationally, but with momentum slowing further as affordability constraints and elevated mortgage rates continue to weigh on the market. FHFA’s seasonally adjusted House Price Index was unchanged in February from the prior month, following an upwardly revised 0.2% gain in January . On an annual basis, prices were up 1.7% versus February 2025, slightly below the pace seen in prior months and consistent with a cooling appreciation trend. Regional FHFA data showed continued divergence across the country. Monthly price changes ranged from -1.1% in the Mountain division to +0.6% in the South Atlantic division. Over the past year, appreciation ranged from -0.7% in the Mountain region to +4.2% in the Middle Atlantic, highlighting a growing split between softer Western markets and firmer Northeastern areas. The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index posted a 0.7% year-over-year gain in February, down from 0.8% previously and marking another step lower in annual appreciation. The 10-City Composite rose 1.5% , while the 20-City Composite increased 0.9% , both slowing from January readings.

Short version: The Pending Home Sales Index remains in the same low, narrow, sideways range that's been intact for 3 years. The good news is that there's been a reliable floor. The bad news is that the top of the range lines up with the historic lows seen in 2010 (April 2020 notwithstanding).  Longer version: Pending home sales moved modestly higher in March, breaking from recent softness but remaining within a relatively subdued range. The National Association of Realtors’ Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) increased 1.5% month over month while declining 1.1% compared with the same time last year. The monthly gain suggests some underlying demand resilience, even as mortgage rates remained elevated. However, on an annual basis, contract activity continues to reflect a market still working through affordability constraints and uneven buyer participation. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun noted that, " Contract signings rose in March despite higher mortgage rates, pointing to pent-up housing demand… A greater supply of inventory will help translate that demand into more home sales. " He added that demand remains particularly rate-sensitive among first-time and younger buyers, underscoring the need for additional supply in smaller, more affordable homes. Regional performance remained mixed. The Northeast and South posted monthly gains, while the Midwest and West saw declines. On a year-over-year basis, only the South recorded an increase, with the remaining regions continuing to trend lower — highlighting ongoing regional divergence in housing activity.

Mortgage applications surged last week, posting a strong rebound as declining rates and improving market sentiment drove broad-based gains. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a 7.9% increase on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending April 17. Both refinance and purchase activity contributed to the increase, with the Refinance Index rising 6% from the previous week and standing 52% higher than one year ago. Purchase applications showed even stronger momentum, climbing 10% week over week and up 14% on an annual basis — a notable shift after recent softness. The improvement comes as mortgage rates moved lower, with the average 30-year fixed rate declining to 6.35% . The drop was driven in part by easing geopolitical tensions and lower oil prices, which helped stabilize financial markets and restore some borrower confidence. MBA’s Mike Fratantoni said, " Mortgage rates declined last week as financial markets responded positively to the Middle East ceasefire and the lower trend in oil prices… purchase application volume increased an even stronger 10 percent and was up 14 percent compared to last year’s pace. Despite the geopolitical uncertainty, housing demand is being supported by a still resilient job market, and homebuyers are experiencing a buyer’s market in most of the country… " Application composition shifted slightly away from refinancing, with refinance share decreasing to 44.2% from 45.5% the prior week. ARM share also declined to 8.0% . FHA share held steady at 18.2% , while VA share decreased to 15.0% and USDA share remained unchanged at 0.5% .

Builder confidence fell sharply in April as rising costs and economic uncertainty weighed on sentiment heading into the spring buying season. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) dropped four points to 34 , its lowest level since September 2025. The decline marks a notable setback after modest gains in recent months, with sentiment remaining firmly below the breakeven level of 50 that separates positive from negative market conditions. All three major components of the index moved lower. The gauge of current sales conditions fell four points to 37 , while the index measuring future sales expectations dropped seven points to 42 . The component tracking prospective buyer traffic declined three points to 22 , reflecting continued softness in demand. “Builder sentiment has fallen back in spring as buyers face ongoing elevated interest rates and growing economic uncertainty,” said NAHB Chairman Bill Owens. He added that geopolitical risks and rising energy costs have further dampened confidence and slowed expected momentum in the housing market. NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz pointed to increasing pressure from higher fuel prices, noting that a majority of builders are seeing rising material costs as a result. He also highlighted that uncertainty around input costs is making it more difficult for builders to price homes, adding another layer of strain on the market.

Mortgage applications ticked higher last week, reversing recent declines as easing rates provided a modest boost to activity. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a 1.8% increase on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending April 10. Refinance activity led the gain, with the Refinance Index rising 5% from the previous week and now sitting 15% above year-ago levels. The increase follows a pullback in rates, which helped restore some borrower incentive after several weeks of weakening demand. Purchase activity remained soft, with the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index slipping 1% week over week. On an annual basis, purchase applications are down 3% , marking a second consecutive week of year-over-year declines as buyer hesitation persists. MBA’s Joel Kan said, " This dip in rates helped to support an increase in conventional refinance applications, which had declined for five consecutive weeks. Purchase activity remained subdued as potential homebuyers remained hesitant given the current economic uncertainty, which kept purchase applications below last year’s level for the second consecutive week..." Application composition shifted toward refinancing, with refinance share increasing to 45.5% from 44.3% the prior week. ARM share decreased slightly to 8.4% . FHA share fell to 18.2% , while VA share declined to 15.7% and USDA share held steady at 0.5% .

Existing-home sales pulled back in March, reversing February’s modest gains as affordability pressures and rising mortgage rates continued to weigh on buyer activity. Sales fell 3.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.98 million , slipping 1.0% below year-ago levels. “March home sales remained sluggish and below last year’s pace,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, pointing to weaker consumer confidence and softer job growth as ongoing headwinds. Inventory improved slightly, but concerns about demand persist. Total housing inventory rose to 1.36 million units , up 3.0% from February and 2.3% higher than a year ago, representing a 4.1-month supply of homes. “Inventory remains a major constraint on the market,” Yun said, noting that an additional 300,000 to 500,000 listings would help normalize conditions and ease pressure on buyers. Limited supply continues to support price growth. The median existing-home price climbed to $408,800 , up 1.4% year-over-year and marking the 33rd consecutive month of annual increases. Affordability showed mixed signals. The Housing Affordability Index dipped to 113.7 in March from 117.5 in February but remains above year-ago levels, with improvements recorded across all regions. Regional Breakdown (Sales and Prices, March 2026)

Mortgage applications dipped again last week, though the pace of decline slowed considerably. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a 0.8% decrease on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending April 3. Refinance activity continued to weaken, with the Refinance Index falling 3% from the previous week and now sitting 4% below year-ago levels. The slowdown reflects a sharp drop in borrower incentive following the recent run-up in rates. Purchase activity showed modest resilience, with the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index rising 1% from the prior week. However, demand remains softer overall, with purchase applications down 7% compared to the same time last year—the first annual decline since early 2025. MBA’s Joel Kan said “higher mortgage rates and continued economic uncertainty weighed down on mortgage applications again last week,” adding that refinance demand has dropped to its lowest level since December 2025. He also pointed out that some segments of the market are holding up better, particularly FHA and ARM loans, which continue to benefit from relatively lower rates and improving housing inventory in certain markets. Application composition shifted slightly, with refinance share decreasing to 44.3% from 45.3% the prior week. ARM share increased to 8.6% . FHA share edged down to 19.3% , while VA share held steady at 16.1% and USDA share remained unchanged at 0.5% .

Mortgage applications fell  for the third consecutive week amid an increasingly volatile rate environment. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a decrease of 10.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending March 27. The Refinance Index fell 17% from the previous week, but remains 33% higher than the same week one year ago. Purchase activity also declined, with the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index dropping 3% , just 1% above year-ago levels. MBA’s Mike Fratantoni notes "higher rates  are being offset somewhat by the buyer’s market in many parts of the country – there are more homes for sale than buyers have seen in some time. Moreover, purchase applications for FHA and VA loans continue to hold up better than those for conventional buyers.  However, the shocks of the jump in rates and the increase in overall economic uncertainty are likely having an impact on buyer confidence.” Once again, application activity shifted further away from refinances. The refinance share of total applications decreased to 45.3% from 49.6% the prior week, while ARM share edged down to 8.0% . FHA share decreased slightly to 19.5% , VA share increased to 16.1% , and USDA share held steady at 0.5% . Mortgage Rate Summary: